The Economist 20260822 Goodhart's law with Chinese characteristics Summary
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China’s official urban unemployment rate presents an implausibly calm picture of the world’s largest labor market. Since the measure was introduced in 2018, it has landed between 5% and 6% in 99 of 115 months. Even during the covid-19 shock it never rose above 6.2%. The article argues that this stability is not reassuring. It is a warning that the statistic may be shaped by the government’s targets and by the way China’s migrant workforce moves in and out of the survey.
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