Best surf: Capitola, Sunday, November 1 at 11 AM — 6.5 alone / 7.5 with instructor, tied for the top score with 1 PM, with light offshore wind and enough runway before the beach face; the modeled 3.2 ft face remains above the current 2.5 ft demonstrated limit. Best jump: Skydive California, Saturday, October 31 at 9 AM — the smoothest slot, with 2 mph wind, 7 mph gusts, and dry conditions. All times local.

Summary Calendar

Monday surf is ❓ because the CDIP forecast currently ends at 1 PM PST, before the required 3 PM and 5 PM readings.

Surfing

Bottom Line

No Friday-Sunday half-day reaches a solo ✅: the long-period SSW swell produces estimated breaking faces of 3.1-4.0 ft, above the current 2.5 ft demonstrated limit. The best two readings are Capitola Sunday at 11 AM and 1 PM, both 6.5 alone / 7.5 with instructor, with light offshore wind and enough runway before the beach face. Cowell Friday at 11 AM follows at 6 / 6.5, but the modeled 3.6 ft face is still large for the current profile and Cowell’s face estimate remains an unvalidated upper bound.

Monday cannot be scored yet because its required wave data is incomplete. Water temperature at buoy 46236 was 65.1°F / 18.4°C at 6:00 AM PDT Tuesday, October 27; use a full wetsuit despite mild afternoons.

Daily Tables

Score is alone / with instructor; bold marks the day’s best. % clean is the share of wave energy in the groundswell; the rest is shorter-period background that makes sets uneven (shown, not scored). Face is the estimated breaking face from groundswell. Tide in ft, ↗ rising, ↘ falling. Break is how far outside the foot of the steep beach face the wave breaks, the runway before it dumps; minus means it breaks on the face itself (shorebreak). Wind in mph: ↑ offshore, ⟷ cross-shore, ↓ onshore. Weather is °F at the beach with the sky: ☀️ sunny, 🌤️ mostly sunny, ⛅ partly sunny, 🌥️ mostly cloudy, ☁️ cloudy, 🌫️ fog, 🌧️ rain. ⚠️ cost one point, ❌ two or more; ▲▼ mark a fast change before the next reading.

Capitola — Fri Oct 30

↓ SSW groundswell 2.1–2.2 ft @ 13–14 s, straight in, 91–92% clean · sun 7:31 AM–6:13 PM

Cowell — Fri Oct 30

↓ SSW groundswell 2.1–2.2 ft @ 15 s, straight in, 92–94% clean · sun 7:31 AM–6:13 PM

Capitola — Sat Oct 31

↓ SSW groundswell 1.9 ft @ 13 s, straight in, 92–93% clean · sun 7:32 AM–6:12 PM

Cowell — Sat Oct 31

↓ SSW groundswell 2.3–2.4 ft @ 14 s, straight in, 95% clean · sun 7:32 AM–6:12 PM

Capitola — Sun Nov 1

↓ SSW groundswell 1.8–1.9 ft @ 13 s, straight in, 91–92% clean · sun 6:33 AM–5:11 PM

Cowell — Sun Nov 1

↓ SSW groundswell 2.3–2.4 ft @ 14 s, straight in, 93–95% clean · sun 6:33 AM–5:11 PM

Capitola — Mon Nov 2

❓ Required CDIP forecast coverage ends at 1 PM PST, so the complete daylight sample set cannot be scored.

Cowell — Mon Nov 2

❓ Required CDIP forecast coverage ends at 1 PM PST, so the complete daylight sample set cannot be scored.

Skydiving

Bottom Line

Best: Friday or Saturday at 9 AM, with smooth conditions all day Monday as the calmest backup; every day has ✅ windows.

Daily Tables

Wind and gusts in mph, rain in mm; the arrow points where the wind comes from, roughly your heading on final. Weather is air °F with the sky: ☀️ sunny, 🌤️ mostly sunny, ⛅ partly sunny, 🌥️ mostly cloudy, ☁️ cloudy, 🌧️ rain. Go: ✅ wind 11 or less, ⚠️ 12 up to the limit, ❌ over the limit or any rain. Gusts never change Go: ⚠️ gusty means gusts 17+ or 9+ above the wind, ❌ rough means 25+ or 15+ above; (+N) is that gap when it reaches 9.

Fri Oct 30

sun 7:29 AM–6:10 PM · licensed limit 20 mph

Sat Oct 31

sun 7:30 AM–6:08 PM · licensed limit 20 mph

Sun Nov 1

sun 6:31 AM–5:07 PM · licensed limit 20 mph

Mon Nov 2: ✅ all day · wind ≤ 3 from W/N, gusts ≤ 10 · dry · weather 9 AM–3 PM: 55° 61° 64° 64° 🌤️ · sun 6:32 AM–5:06 PM

Safety

• An active NWS Coastal Flood Advisory runs through 5 PM PDT Friday, October 30 for Monterey Bay. The notice warns that high tides can bring water and waves farther up the beach, restrict escape, cause coastal erosion, and flood low-lying roads. This overlaps Friday’s rising high tide and Capitola’s 1 PM shorebreak; check beach access before entering.
• Santa Cruz County’s page was updated October 20 from October 19 samples: no active bacterial beach alert and no domoic-acid caution were parsed. Neary Lagoon at Cowell and Soquel Creek at Capitola remain permanently posted; stay clear of both outfalls and follow the county’s 72-hour post-rain guidance.
• All scored windows have modeled faces above the current 2.5 ft demonstrated limit. The Sunday Capitola high score is for instructor-supervised conditions, not an endorsement of solo entry.
• Source bundle fetched 7:06 AM PDT Tuesday, October 27. Friday-Sunday weather, tides, alerts, water quality, and waves were complete; Monday wave coverage was incomplete and remains unscored.

Sources

• Surf: Capitola Cowell Surf Forecast 20261030 - 20261102 Summary.md — generated October 27, 2026.
• Skydiving: Skydive California Forecast 20261030 - 20261102 Summary.md — generated October 27, 2026.